Gallup polls Americans on their confidence in American institutions, publishing results every summer (see 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).
The number of Americans who report a "great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in the presidency has declined from a recent high of 58% in 2002 to 26% in 2024, the second lowest score after 2022's rating of 23%.
Will Gallup polling show a decline (i.e. 25% or less) in Americans' confidence in the presidency in 2025?
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What about rounding? What if I can find a source showing the number moved from eg. 29.4% to 29.3%?
@jessald Might be able to demonstrate that confidence did decline by some small amount by reverse engineering their methodology
Resolves NO (26 -> 30)
The data is out: https://news.gallup.com/file/poll/692660/2025_07_17_Confidence%20in%20Institutions%20Topline%20and%20Tabs.pdf
@AlexanderTheGreater Gallup has polled this question exactly once per calendar year since 1993, usually in May-July. The last year it was polled twice was 1991, and even then there was an eight-month gap between the two polls
https://news.gallup.com/poll/1597/Confidence-Institutions.aspx
@AlexanderTheGreater to answer the question in the way you have interpreted it, no mid-year poll in either year would be particularly useful
As far as resolving the market is concerned, it's irrelevant. The description and close date make it fairly clear that we are comparing the 2025 Gallup poll with the 2024 Gallup poll
The data was released 5 days ago: https://news.gallup.com/file/poll/692660/2025_07_17_Confidence%20in%20Institutions%20Topline%20and%20Tabs.pdf