Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Gallup?

Question

Gallup polls Americans on their confidence in American institutions, publishing results every summer (see 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).

The number of Americans who report a "great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in the Supreme Court has declined from 48% since polling began in 1975 to 27% in 2025, a modest improvement over the lowest score of 25% in 2022.

Will Gallup polling show a decline (i.e. 26% or less) in Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court in 2026?

See also:

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@/cash/will-americans-confidence-in-the-su-EClqP5dpyZ (this question)

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 4% chance (27 traders, as of Jul 20, 2026).

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