Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026? | Manifold

Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?

Basic

8

Ṁ224

2027

31%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolved according to the same source that Our World In Data uses, which is Ember Climate.

"non-fossil fuel sources" exclude coal, gas, oil, and "other fossil," and include everything else: hydro, bioenergy, nuclear, solar, wind, and "other renewables," all per Ember Climate's categories.

According to these data, electricity production in Terawatt hours (TWh) by source in the United States for 2022 was as follows:

The percentage of electricity production from non-fossil fuel sources for 2022 was therefore 40.48%.

If any of the next 4 years' annualized electricity production data (2023, 2024, 2025, 2026) show that the sum of non-fossil fuel sources makeup a majority of electricity production in the United States, this question resolves YES.

The original Ember Climate data can be found here in an excel sheet. Look for the rows for the United States in 2022, then for Category = Electricity generation, Subcategory = Fuel, and Unit = TWh.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

@DavidSavage there are a number of questions about the Energy sector and other sciences that you might be interested in. And you can write your own with the create question button 😉

41% currently, so we need another 9% in 4 years. Seems on the edge of possibility

Related questions

Will the U.S. get 5% of its energy from solar before 2025?

-11% 1d16% chance

What will be the sources of non-fossil-fuel energy production in the United States in 2040?

Will over 25% of the United States' energy be produced from renewable sources by the end of 2030?

Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

What percentage of US energy will be produced by each source in 2050?

Will over 20% of the United States' energy be produced from renewable sources by the end of 2030?

Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?

Related questions

Will the U.S. get 5% of its energy from solar before 2025?

Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?

What will be the sources of non-fossil-fuel energy production in the United States in 2040?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will over 25% of the United States' energy be produced from renewable sources by the end of 2030?

What percentage of US energy will be produced by each source in 2050?

Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?

Will over 20% of the United States' energy be produced from renewable sources by the end of 2030?

Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?

Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules