Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ1972026
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if the total of all states and territories (as given under the "Regions" tab) has 2,500,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that a transient event will be missed. I will not resolve based on others noting in the comments that it has occurred but if I notice the comment I will check and resolve if the condition still exists. I will also see if following on FB or twitter helps and may enlist others in my circle to make it more likely I notice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any U.S. State have more than 2,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
34% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
38% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 500,000 customers without power in 2025?
82% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
73% chance
How much utility-scale solar power will the US install in 2025?
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
19% chance
Will primary energy consumption in the US decrease by 2050?
55% chance
Will a majority of US electricity production come from non-fossil fuel sources before the end of 2026?
31% chance
Will the US use more than 4,400 TWh in 2026?
36% chance