Will 2020s US productivity average over 1.8%, per Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon's Long Bet?
Basic
2
Ṁ302030
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if the Long Bet between Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J. Gordon is won by Brynjolfsson on LongBets.org. See the terms and status of their Long Bet here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
48% chance
Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?
92% chance
Will US Total Factor Productivity grow in 2024?
78% chance
Will weakly general AI double US total factor productivity growth within ten years?
68% chance
Will UK's real GDP growth for year 2025 exceed 1% under Labor party?
60% chance
Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?
18% chance
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?
38% chance
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
40% chance
Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023 and 2024?
13% chance
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
23% chance