Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of Q2 2026 (June 30, 2026), at least one Fortune 500 company publicly attributes a productivity gain exceeding 10% to the implementation of artificial intelligence (AI). The attribution must be explicitly stated in official company communications, such as earnings reports, press releases, or statements from company executives. If no such attribution is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

Several Fortune 500 companies have reported significant productivity improvements due to AI integration. For instance, a study involving a Fortune 500 software firm found that implementing a generative AI tool increased customer service agents' productivity by 14%, measured by issues resolved per hour. (bls.gov) Additionally, Microsoft reported saving approximately $500 million in its call centers through AI integration, coinciding with substantial workforce reductions. (windowscentral.com)

Considerations

• Verification Sources: Official company documents, such as earnings reports and press releases, are primary sources for verifying productivity gains attributed to AI.

• Attribution Specificity: The productivity gain must be explicitly linked to AI implementation. General statements about productivity improvements without direct reference to AI will not suffice for market resolution.

• Measurement of Productivity Gains: Productivity improvements can be quantified in various ways, including increased output per hour, cost savings, or enhanced efficiency metrics. The reported gain must clearly exceed 10% to meet the market's resolution criteria.