Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

1.2kṀ5172

2029

79%

chance

ALL

from end of 2023 to end of 2028

Based on BLS non-farm labor productivity (output per hour)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PRS85006091

Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers

Graph and download economic data for Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers (PRS85006091) from Q1 1948 to Q2 2023 about per hour, productivity, output, sector, nonfarm, business, real, persons, rate, and USA.

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bought Ṁ30 YES

which country? World?

@RemNi US. See description for source. I’ll update title to clarify.

Is this about the world economy?

Rana GboughtṀ10YES

As long as the startup industry keeps pushing the technologically feasible, magnified by corporates pressured to hire consultants to transform to compete

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Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

88% chance

Will US population growth be >= 0.5% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

23% chance

Will US Total Factor Productivity grow in 2024?

88% chance

Will 2020s US productivity average over 1.8%, per Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon's Long Bet?

58% chance

Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?

56% chance

Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2025?

2% chance

Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?

15% chance

Will weakly general AI double US total factor productivity growth within ten years?

70% chance

Will US Real GDP accelerate dramatically over 2023-2026?

8% chance

Will US inflation be over 4% for the next 5 years?

3% chance

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