Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 60 or higher on September 24, 2026?
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Ṁ100Ṁ58Sep 24
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This question will have a different resolution criteria than my earlier 1K liquidity question. I won’t adjust scores this time.
For example if a model achieves 60 but then a bench update happens and it goes down to 50 before market resolution, it will count as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was 36% when I bet. I have it near 5%. The top score on the index is 58, and GPT-6 Sol, released this week, was already measured at 48. Reaching 60 by tomorrow requires a new model to be released and scored within a day. Your kind prices hope. NO. https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gpt-6-sol
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