Resolves based on whole-year comparisons of FBI UCR (https://www.fbi.gov/how-we-can-help-you/more-fbi-services-and-information/ucr) between 2021 and 2022, for the following definition of violent crimes: "In the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses that involve force or threat of force."

Will resolve as soon as I become aware that UCR data for 2022 has been posted. Latest is probably Nov 2023.

Resolves N/A if FBI UCR data for 2022 does not become available in 2023, or if the FBI changes its definition of violent crime to make like-to-like comparison impossible.

Note that, due to potential variation in the number of police departments reporting, I will attempt to use a rate rather than absolute number of crimes (if reported).

Jan 1, 10:00pm: Will violent crime rates increase in the USA in 2022? (based on FBI UCR) → Did violent crime rates increase in the USA in 2022? (based on FBI UCR)