Will research show that crime has increased by 2045 due to abortion restrictions passed in 2021-2022?
23
1kṀ514
2045
44%
chance

Roe V Wade (which happened in the 70s) is commonly accepted by researchers to be responsible for a quarter of the drastic 10% decrease in crime in the 90s. (See https://pricetheory.uchicago.edu/levitt/Papers/LevittUnderstandingWhyCrime2004.pdf) Will researchers show an increase in crime 20 years after Roe V Wade was overturned?

This market will still stand even if the laws change again; there is already an increase in children being born due to these restrictions, and the increased crime in this hypothesis would be due to those children coming of age. (See https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23865297-jama_bell_2023_ld_230047_16879776321876 -- 9799 extra kids born from April to December 2022 due to the Texas heartbeat law)

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