Will a train derailment in the US cause evacuation of a municipality of more than 1000 people before 2025?
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Requires evacuation of the entire municipality OR news articles to state that 1000 people or more have been evacuated.

Resolves YES if links to credible news reports are posted in the comments. Resolves NO at midnight on Jan 1, 2025.

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@brp re-reading the criteria, is this question resolved YES?

https://www.wymt.com/2023/11/23/state-emergency-declared-rockcastle-county-following-train-derailment/

https://english.news.cn/20231124/a805e09cee034c4a8dc085142b36098d/c.html

@MickBransfield Why on earth is this being reported on by Chinese and not English language media. Do you have a local source?

@MickBransfield "Governor Beshear has declared a State of Emergency for the county and residents are encouraged to evacuate in the Piney Branch Road and Livingston areas. Impacted families can take shelter at the Rockcastle County Middle School, where cots have been set up. Local officials tell me CSX is also helping impacted families with hotel rooms and food." Livingston has a population of ~220 people, so how many people live near Piney Branch Road? (The Chinese source claims that Piney Branch is a town?) How many pepole were evacuated?

Edit: Google Maps makes it look like the Piney Branch Road has at most 15 houses on it. S Wilderness Rd and S Upper River Rd look to have roughly the same total number of buildings as downtown Livingston, so the total evacuation population is probably < 500 people. Going to leave this for now, but please let me know if you find a source saying the evacuation was larger.

predicts YES

@brp Ok, so the town population does matter even if it has been entirely evacuated?

Requires evacuation of the entire municipality OR news articles to state that 1000 people or more have been evacuated.

@MickBransfield "a municipality of more than 1000 people," so not any municipality will cover it. Sorry.

predicts NO

@brp I had the same confusion, because if that's how you're ruling it then what's the purpose of the OR in this line:

Requires evacuation of the entire municipality OR news articles to state that 1000 people or more have been evacuated.

You could drop the first half, since evacuation of the entire municipality would always also trigger the second half.

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