Will 2023 see national news report a US bridge collapse with at least one fatality?
14
270Ṁ1905
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

As the goal of this market is to estimate infrastructure decay, the collapse must not be concurrent with a hurricane or tornado, but during "normal" weather.

"National news" refers to the nationally targeted main websites of major media companies or NPR.

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Why didn’t the Philadelphia overpass collapse count?

predictedNO

@BTE I'd imagine it violates the spirit of the "normal weather" clause. There was no decaying infrastructure, the bridge would have been fine were it not for the burning truck.

@Sailfish What?? I am pretty sure bridges are not supposed to collapse because of trucks on fire. No way. That is a normal occurrence on highways.

predictedNO

@BTE On the off chance you're serious, it seems fairly clear cut.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Interstate_95_highway_collapse

The bridge was structurally sound, the cause of the collapse was the burning tanker, there were no fatalities other than the truck driver who was dead before the bridge collapsed.

@BTE I might have counted it, but if the trucker died due to an accident or due to burn injuries, then there were no fatalities due to the bridge collapse. The other article you linked in the other market stated "no injuries".

To answer your question from another angle, your comment was the first I had heard of a bridge collapse in Philly. So at the time you posted the question, it wasn't so much that it didn't count as that I wasn't even aware of it. Thanks for commenting!

@brp For future reference, if a bridge is structurally sound prior to a fire and collapses due to a fire not caused by the state of repair of the bridge, and said fire "cause[s] the supporting steel girders to melt" (Wikipedia) then the collapse of the bridge will not resolve the market, as it isn't reflective of poor US infrastructure. However, if the bridge or roadway being in poor repair can be said to have caused the fire, this would resolve YES.

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