US government shutdown by January 31st 2026?
248
Ṁ10kṀ170kFeb 1
11%
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Resolves YES iff the US Office of Personnel Management announces a federal government shutdown (including a partial shutdown) due to a lapse in appropriations on the operating status page by 11:59pm ET on January 31st, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Panfilo put some up at 22% and 23%. don't have a super high conviction
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovshut/government-shutdown/kxgovshut-26jan31
earn real money, buy NO
filled aṀ500YES at 27% order
actually i don't know about that it's hard to tell but that's my sense ig. more so when i am on the YES side though. nothing ever happens