Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026: US Federal Reserve European Central Bank Bank of Japan Bank of England People’s Bank of China A rate hike of any amount counts, at any meeting including emergency meetings. ALL must hike, otherwise resolves no.

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (2 traders, as of May 25, 2026).

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)

Ṁ1kṀ460

Dec 31

32%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026:

A rate hike of any amount counts, at any meeting including emergency meetings. ALL must hike, otherwise resolves no.

Market context

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