How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
3
1.5kṀ2532026
12%
0 cuts
18%
1 cut
24%
2 cuts
21%
3 cuts
15%
4 cuts
11%
Resolution criteria
The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year. Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2. If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts. Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements. Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.
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