How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
21
Ṁ1.5kṀ9.6kDec 31
49%
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)
5%
1 cut (Target 3.25-3.50)
4%
2 cuts (Target 3.00-3.25)
1.8%
3 cuts (Target 2.75-3.00)
1.2%
4 cuts (Target 2.50-2.75)
39%
Resolution criteria
The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year. Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2. If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts. Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements. Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.
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