MANIFOLD
Will Zelensky remain the President of Ukraine beyond 2025?
77
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if Volodymyr Zelensky is still the official, internationally recognized President of Ukraine at any point after December 31, 2025.

The market resolves to NO if:

  • Zelensky is no longer president by January 1, 2026 (due to resignation, removal from office, or other reasons)

  • Elections are held before January 1, 2026, and Zelensky loses

  • A different individual becomes acting president or interim president by January 1, 2026

If Ukraine ceases to exist as an internationally recognized sovereign state, the market will resolve based on whether Zelensky remains the leader of the Ukrainian government-in-exile or equivalent entity.

  • Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Uninterrupted Term Requirement

    • No Interim Presidency Allowed: Zelensky must hold the presidency continuously through the period beyond December 31, 2025, without any interruption (even if he later returns after a temporary interim period).

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@mods inactive creator, can resolve

Okay. What if someone is interim president for a spell, but then Vladimir returns?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen interesting edge case but he has to remain president throughout the period (uninterrupted)

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