What year will SpaceX land on the moon?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ3531
2028
0.1%
2024
0.4%
2025
5%
2026
95%
2027 or later

Crewed Landing

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Does this question refer to an uncrewed HLS test landing?

@bitSanjay Can you confirm this?

@JoshuaWilkes Crewed Landing

sold Ṁ2 2025 YES

@bitSanjay Best put that in the description, it makes the market very different

How do you resolve if it is >2027?

@Irigi Not sure, probably no one wins? Do you have a better suggestion on how it should be resolved?

@bitSanjay I would choose N/A the question.

@Irigi personally I would've made the question "2027 or later or never", if the current betters don't mind. I'm just not a fan of N/A if it can be avoided

@Mqrius @Irigi Thanks, I changed it to "2027 or later". Please let me know if you all agree with it.

@bitSanjay Fine for me as I was not betting NO on 2027.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules