Will India and Pakistan go to war in 2025? (>1k deaths)
13
100Ṁ277Dec 31
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the following criterion is met:
> 1000 deaths due to an India-Pakistan conflict within 2025, as per consensus media reporting and a median of the estimates of Wikipedia, the NYT, and the Guardian
I will not bet in this market, to remain as objective as possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
India starts war with Pakistan? (maybe resolves may 4th?)
12% chance
India conducts limited military airstrikes inside Pakistan before May 5, 2025
21% chance
India launches a military operation against Pakistan before May 22, 2025
Will India and Pakistan go to war in 2025?
24% chance
Will a major war break out in 2025?
50% chance
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Will Pakistan engage in military conflict with another nation before the end of 2035?
56% chance
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025
29% chance
Will India and China go to war before 2026?
6% chance
Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035?
37% chance