Has Lockheed Martin developed a compact fusion reactor?
13
100Ṁ973
Jan 1
4%
chance

See this tweet:

https://x.com/lockheedmartin/status/1969401262949937333?s=46&t=62uT9IruD1-YP-SHFkVEPg

I may extend the market if necessary. Resolves as to the internet consensus or my best guess after things become clear. If it remains incredibly unclear about the intent of this tweet, then I may N/A, although given the fact they advertised/hyped this on Twitter I think that’s not super likely but who knows.

  • Update 2025-09-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If the linked tweet is indeed about a Compact Fusion Reactor (CFR) and Lockheed Martin has made reasonable progress toward a working reactor, this resolves YES.

    • A fully working reactor or commercial viability is not required for a YES.

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What counts as developed? Does it have to be commercially viable, and by when? If they just made a cool prototype that this tweet is referring to, is that a YES?

@xjp if this tweet is indeed referring to a Compact Fusion Reactor and they have made some sort of reasonable progress towards a working reactor, then this will resolve YES.

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