
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be a tokamak?
12
closes 4000
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ16 +66%
New probability
61% +1.7%
>50MW
Get Ṁ500 play money
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What happens if fusion turns out more expensive than solar, wind & batteries such that it is only used in specialised situations eg space missions? Is that commercial or does it have to sell electricity on Earth?
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