Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100" market decline to 10% by the end of 2024?
10
150Ṁ274
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO

This is effectively like an option, a way to obtain leverage.

  • Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:

    • The market resolves to NO if the decline to 10% by the end of 2024 does not occur.

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Seems like it resolves NO?

at any point before the end of 2024?

@Lavander Yes

@BenjaminIkuta that would mean this is a 'one touch' and already triggered, since the reference contract is currently trading at 15%

@AlexanderLeCampbell By "reach 10%" I mean "decline to reach 10%", not "increase to reach 10%", since it was already above 10% when I made the market.

@BenjaminIkuta That's not the usual understanding of "reach", might want to change the title to "decline"

@JamesBakerc884 done

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