Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?
Plus
32
Ṁ14652040
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
71% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?
36% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?
12% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?
82% chance
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
26% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
45% chance
Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?
16% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
72% chance
Will AI extend English before 2031?
40% chance
Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors decrease by 2030?
57% chance