On November 21, 2022, the largest rail union in the US rejected its contract. This could lead to a rail strike across the US within the coming weeks.
This question will resolve to "yes" if any rail union in the US declares and starts a strike before January 1, 2023, and the question will resolve to "no" otherwise.
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"Biden signs bill averting rail worker strike" https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/02/biden-signs-bill-averting-rail-worker-strike-despite-lack-of-paid-sick-days.html