Will a robot that employs an AI that combines an LLM and a knowledge model be publicly available before January 1, 2024?
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resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO

Large language models (LLMs), including ChatGPT, GPT-4, and (the Bard interface to) LaMDA, have made the news in recent months. While the capabilities of LLMs are extraordinary, they will likely be even more extraordinary when combined with a knowledge model. We are seeing the first such combinations with plugins for GPT-4.

The robotics field has been making extraordinary advances as well, and LLMs have been demonstrated in combination with robots. Here are two examples:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUszJyS3d7A
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PgT8tPChbqc&t=26s

This question will resolve to "yes" if a robot is made publicly available that employs at least an LLM combined with a knowledge model. This question will resolve to "yes" if other capabilities are included as well. A robot will be considered to be "publicly available" if any members of the general public, without special connections to AI, are able to access this AI, openly, through a waitlist or otherwise. Access may be free or may cost money. A robot will be considered publicly available if members of the public can visit with, borrow, rent or buy such a robot. The question will resolve to "yes" if such a robot is physically available to the general public before January 1, 2024, and to "no" otherwise; for example, if members of the public are able to place an order for such a robot before January 1, 2024 but no such robot is physically available before January 1, 2024, then the question will resolve to "no."

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predicted NO

Inactive creator, I see a lot of research, but not any such robot commercially/publicly available, resolving NO.

bought Ṁ700 of NO

It truly is the future

(this does not meet the criteria for a YES resolution)

Doesn't Bing chat do that already?

predicted YES

@OrlandoMoreno It needs to be a physical robot.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

The robot doesn't have to be as complicated as Ameca, so I'm voting yes.

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