Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?
56
1kṀ5756
resolved May 13
Resolved
NO

This prediction is specifically about law enforcement, not law as a whole. That is, LLM output is used for something like determining if someone should be investigated or arrested. Think police, not lawyers.

This prediction will be resolved as "yes" iff reliable media sources or official court documents in any country show that a LLM AI was used in any capacity by law enforcement to make a decision as described above.

Please keep the following conditions in mind:

  • It does not include LLM output being used to argue a case, or being used as evidence in a case.

  • It does not include the use of an LLM in some criminal capacity leading to someone's arrest (as the AI was used by the guilty party, not law enforcement).

  • It does not include the use of some other kind of AI or machine learning, either known today or developed in the future.

  • It does not include law enforcement using an LLM in a non-decision-making capacity.

  • It does not matter if the usage was decisive (whether the output was the ultimate cause of the decision), successful, or substantial, only that one was used as part of the decision-making process.

  • It does not include usage by intelligence services like the CIA/NSA

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