At what market cap will Mos exit?
8
18
Ṁ594Ṁ1.2k
2030
78k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to the market cap of Mos (mos.com) at the end of the first day of public trading. If Mos is acquired, the market resolves to the publicly reported acquisition price or merger value at the day the merger/acquisition is announced, including both cash and stock.
If the company shuts down, this market resolves to 0.
If Mos has not had an exit by the end of the 2020s, this market resolves to N/A.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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@AndrewHyer EV for HIGHER at current marginal rate would be -0.9735 (265%*1%-1), and for LOWER would be 0.584 (160%*99%-1). So you LOWER has positive EV, given those probabilities.
It's fixed payout, so it doesn't matter if you expect it to end at $1M or $1B with 1% chance.
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