Will gpt2-chatbot rank the highest in chatbot arena by the end of May 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ2580resolved Jun 16
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Oh this will be a little bit of a mess to resolve: https://twitter.com/lmsysorg/status/1790097588399779991
@ChrisPrichard In particular, they won't be called gpt2-chatbot when they go up on the official leaderboard.
@ChrisPrichard My read, given that it is the same model, that this should resolve yes if gpt-4o is on top at the end of May.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
60% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
18% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Until what date will an Google model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena? (>=week)
Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?
35% chance
Will GPT-4.5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
78% chance
Will GPT-5 top the LLMSys Chatbot Arena leaderboard within a month of its release?
85% chance
Will ChatGPT or Bing be the most popular LLM chatbot at the end of 2024?
82% chance
What will be GPT-5's score on LMSYS Chatbot Arena?