Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?
50
Ṁ1.1kṀ14kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
73%
Labour
25%
Reform
1.1%
Restore
Josh Simons has announced that he will stand down as MP in order trigger a by-election in the Makerfield constituency so that Andy Burnham can re-enter parliament. What party will win this by-election?
If the by election doesn't actually happen, this market will resolve N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Which party will get second in the Makerfield by-election?
Restore Britain ≥4% in Makerfield by-election?
84% chance
Which party will get third in the Makerfield by-election?
Restore Britain's finishing position in the Makerfield by-election?
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
27% chance
Which party will get fourth in the Makerfield by-election?
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
74% chance
What vote shares will the parties get in the Makerfield by election?
Will Restore Britain win the Makerfield by-election
1% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Which party will get second in the Makerfield by-election?
Restore Britain ≥4% in Makerfield by-election?
84% chance
Which party will get third in the Makerfield by-election?
Restore Britain's finishing position in the Makerfield by-election?
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
27% chance
Which party will get fourth in the Makerfield by-election?
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
74% chance
What vote shares will the parties get in the Makerfield by election?
Will Restore Britain win the Makerfield by-election
1% chance