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MANIFOLD
If Andy Burnham contests a by-election before the next GE, who wins the seat?
2
Ṁ175Ṁ52
2029
60%
Andy Burnham (for Labour)
7%
Andy Burnham (not for Labour)
7%
The Conservatives
7%
The Lib Dems
7%
The Greens
7%
Reform
7%
Other

If he contests a by-election, it resolves then. That is, if he contests several by-elections, this market resolved according to the result of the first one.

Resolves NA if Andy Burnham does not contest a by-election before the next general election.

Market context
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