If Andy Burnham contests a by-election before the next GE, who wins the seat?
18
Ṁ175Ṁ9372029
67%
Andy Burnham (for Labour)
0.2%
Andy Burnham (not for Labour)
0.2%
The Conservatives
0.2%
The Lib Dems
0.8%
The Greens
31%
Reform
1.2%
If he contests a by-election, it resolves then. That is, if he contests several by-elections, this market resolved according to the result of the first one.
Resolves NA if Andy Burnham does not contest a by-election before the next general election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
27% chance
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
74% chance
When will Andy Burnham become an MP by?
11/9/27
Will Andy Burnham lose a by-election in 2026?
37% chance
If Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election, will he become Labour leader in the next leadership election?
74% chance
If Andy Burnham wins a by-election, will he become PM before the next GE?
87% chance
Will Andy Burnham be an MP by the next UK general election?
66% chance
If Andy Burnham loses the makerfield by election, will he….?
IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
If Andy Burnham loses the Makerfield by election, will be contest another by election before 2029?
27% chance