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Will Google Bard pass ChatGPT in number of users before the end of Q1-2024?
76
closes 2024
56%
chance

https://bard.google.com/ has been released for beta testing.

It's starting way behind ChatGPT, but it can still catch up - How do you see them in a year?

YES= Google Bard get more users than ChatGPT

NO = ChatGPT still ahead

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Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 55%

Could fire everyone except for Google Brain and Deepmind and start fresh, (sorry Googlers but your company hasn’t shipped a product in 12 years, since Docs/Reader)

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 55%

He just like me (but unlike Google he put the smart people in charge, not army of mediocrity )

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 57%
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingis predicting NO at 55%

> trillion dollar company; can’t even outperform team of six people at meta plus hackers

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 60%

AI is already in my G Drive...


ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 60%

@alby Not Bard, but I think this makes Bard releasing with full integration before the end of 2023 (and thus, almost certainly passing ChatGPT in users) much more likely

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 60%

@ShadowyZephyr Yes, maybe it won't be called Bard, but they're finally on track

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 60%

@alby Well, if it isn't Bard, this isn't going to resolve YES. But Bard still exists, and they said they're rolling out support in 40 languages for it, so it's clearly not going away any time soon.

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 60%

@ShadowyZephyr Yes, also ChatGPT may change name in future releases or as a feature inside Microsoft suite... There should be another market considering Microsoft VS Alphabet AI users as a whole, but for now that's it

Tyler31 avatar
Tylerbought Ṁ0 of NO

Is anyone long this based on current capabilities? I am happy for people who want to take my mana, especially if they want to show me what I’m missing.

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 53%

@Tyler31 Google is a huge search engine, and bard is estimated to have 1 billion users if it launched on the main page. It’s really “Will google deploy bard and link to it on the main page by the end of 2023”

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 57%

I still think this is undervalued... Bard is now showing on the home screen.

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 60%
ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 40%

How does this resolve if Bard does not disclose their user count?

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 43%

@ShadowyZephyr I guess we will have an idea of which one of the two services will have more users by 2024

ShadowyZephyr avatar
ShadowyZephyris predicting YES at 30%

@alby What if we don't?

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 53%

@ShadowyZephyr I guess we'll all die in ignorance?

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 30%
Odoacre avatar
Odoacre

It's still on a waitlist

Right now, access to Bard is limited. Please confirm you’d like to join the waitlist and you’ll receive an email when it’s your turn.

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 20%

@Odoacre I've already being granted the access. I think the waitlist is very short now...

alby avatar
AAis predicting YES at 19%

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