Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026? | Manifold

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

12

100Ṁ362

2026

5%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if Google Gemini ranks above ChatGPT in US Top Free Apps: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36
at EOY 2026.

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

there is literally no way anyone ever catches up to chatgpt ever (/exaggerated)

this unprofessional looking graph dubiously disagrees with you!

@Bayesian but I agree with you, because Gemini use is mostly through other apps / built into the OS

People are also trading

Will Google release Gemini 3-pro before October 1, 2025?

-21% 1d18% chance

Will Google Gemini pass ChatGPT in the App Store by EOY?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?

Related questions

Will Google release Gemini 3-pro before October 1, 2025?

Will Google Gemini pass ChatGPT in the App Store by EOY?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2025?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy