Will Nvidia be blocked from selling H20 GPUs to China at the end of May?
32
1kṀ10kMay 31
95%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-04-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria update:
If Nvidia receives any export licenses to China (even on a case-by-case basis), the market will resolve as No.
If Nvidia does not receive any export licenses to China, the market will resolve as Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?
21% chance
Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?
86% chance
Will any Nvidia acquisition be strack down by a regulator by end of 2025?
45% chance
Will Nvidia close over $40 post-split ($400 pre-split) at the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Manifold be blocked in China at the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will CUDA remain a monopoly for GPU software through 2027?
56% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
53% chance