Will Chinese chip companies be blocked from making chips at TSMC before the end of 2023?
6
200Ṁ115resolved Mar 9
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if it is announced before the end of 2023 that a majority of Chinese chip companies will be blocked from making leading-edge chips at TSMC, similar to how Huawei was blocked from making new orders starting in 2020.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ45 | |
2 | Ṁ31 |
People are also trading
Related questions
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
53% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
27% chance
China produces 3nm chips before 2027?
41% chance
Will Manifold be blocked in China at the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
33% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
92% chance