Will agent GPTs be set loose on the internet in 2023, without humans able to control them or shut them down?
17
Ṁ330Ṁ1.7kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Prediction #20 from @ZviMowshowitz's post On AutoGPT:
We will, by the end of 2023, have the first agent GPTs that have been meaningfully ‘set loose’ on the internet, without any mechanism available for humans to control them or shut them down.
I will defer to Zvi's interpretation if he provides it, but I'm interpreting this as the agent's creator being incapable of shutting the agent down through normal means. If the agent's creator has no control over it and extraordinary measures have to be taken, such as if AWS or OpenAI has to terminate a rogue AI's account, or the DoD calls in an air strike on the datacenter, that counts as Yes.
More AutoGPT predictions:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ68 | |
| 2 | Ṁ14 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ6 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI system similar to Auto-GPT make a successful attempt to kill a human by 2030?
27% chance
Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?
81% chance
Will OpenAI's autonomous agent be based on GPT-4?
34% chance
By 2026, will a proeminent chatbot with some access to the internet do something actually harmful and unintended?
66% chance
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
33% chance
By 2029, will there be a public "rogue AI" incident?
89% chance
Will LLMs such as GPT-4 be seen as at most just a part of the solution to AGI? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #7)
86% chance
ChatGPT Atlas killed off before 2030?
64% chance