AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

Question

Prediction #6 from @ZviMowshowitz's post On AutoGPT:

Agents, with the proper scaffolding, restrictions, guidance and so on, will indeed prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks or especially multi-step branching tasks, and also be good to employ when doing things like (or dealing with things like) customer relations or customer service. Risk management will be a major focus.

I will run a poll at the end of 2024 asking people to rate how true this was from 0-100%, and this market will resolve to the average of the responses, excluding outliers.

More AutoGPT predictions:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/ahalekelly/in-the-short-term-autogpt-and-its-i)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ahalekelly/will-agent-gpts-be-set-loose-on-the)May 1, 10:34pm: GPT agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks. → AutoGPT style agents will prove in the longer run the proper way to get automation of medium complexity tasks.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 27% chance (10 traders, as of Nov 19, 2025).