Will an AI system similar to Auto-GPT make a successful attempt to kill a human by 2030?
34
1kṀ16742031
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By default resolves NO; the burden of proof is on the YES side.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@tailcalled I think the main point is that it should arrive at this decision completely autonomously. Even if a specific task was given to the AI by humans, it is not one where killing a human is an expected outcome. E.g. military AI would not count but paperclip producing AI would.
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
26% chance
Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?
12% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
8% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will humans wipe out AI by 2030?
6% chance
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
23% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
11% chance