US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?
108
1kṀ70k
Dec 31
24%
chance

Resolves Yes if there are multiple US strikes on Iran that collectively span a >24 hr period

Only kinetic strikes such as a bomb, missile, or special forces raid count. And must be officially acknowledged by the US govt

  • Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator's clarification:

    • Strikes must be on Iranian soil.

    • Strikes on Iranian vessels do not count.

Wars
Israel
Middle East
Iran
Israel-Iran Conflict
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How about strikes on Iranian vessels, e.g. if they try to block the straits of Hormuz?

@AhronMaline good question, no it must be a strike on Iranian soil

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy