If China is not blocked from buying chips from TSMC, will they invade Taiwan before the end of 2025? | Manifold

If China is not blocked from buying chips from TSMC, will they invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?

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resolved Mar 9

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If it is not announced before the end of 2023 that a majority of Chinese chip companies will be blocked from making leading-edge chips at TSMC, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?

Resolves N/A if the following market resolves Yes (at the end of 2023):

Counterfactual market:

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