Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
41
1kแน3551Dec 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES IFF China institutes some type of naval blockade against Taiwan between the start of this market and before the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes The moderation guidelines don't really give us any tools here. I can say that moderators asked to resolve this would probably use their best judgement given the state of the market. If you're concerned, don't bet in this market -- in fact, you seem to be very interested and I know you are good at running markets, you should make your own version if you feel comfortable doing so.
@Eliza Yeah, just bet in this one https://manifold.markets/SG/china-blockades-taiwan-in-2025 or make your own tbh
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a blockade of 1+ Taiwanese port for 10+ days in 2025?
20% chance
Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2025?
19% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2025?
5% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
8% chance
China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)
16% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
8% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
50% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
8% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance