Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035. The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES.
Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Military outposts are excluded. Only civilian Israeli settlements or outposts count.
If a military outpost is later converted into a civilian settlement/outpost, it counts only if it is inhabited and present in Gaza on 2035-12-31.
Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Edge cases (e.g., a single tent/unauthorized encampment): Counts only if reliable sources classify it as an Israeli outpost.
1,000People are also trading
@nathanwei I strongly disagree. It currently looks like some parts of the strip will remain under Israeli control indefinitely, as Hamas refuses to disarm and the fighting continues at a slow burn. The settlers have been pushing hard to build there, will continue to have political clout, and are more than happy to build illegally. Under those conditions, who will stop them?
@AhronMaline Not really. Also Israel won't have a coalition this right-wing again anytime soon. The alliance between the Haredim and the religious Zionists is broken. Post-Netanyahu you'll have Likud and centrist parties.
@nathanwei you don't need the goverment to support the settlers, just not to seriously fight them. They have been perfecting these methods in the West Bank for decades. And they have plenty of supporters within the IDF, at all levels.
As for the ceasefire, it was broken again toda. More importantly, Hamas has no intention of disarming, so Israel will never pull back From the 53%. Soon enough Trump will give up.
@adssx inclusive of military outposts?
If civilian only- does it have to be government sanctioned, or would some guy in with a tent suffice?
@Lemming I think it’s supposed to be exclusive of military outposts.
@nathanwei I don't think I had that in mind when I created the question. It's probably better to exclude military outposts. If those military outposts end up being turned later into civilian settlements (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_outpost#Military_outposts ), then the question would resolve yes at that time.
@Lemming The market's definition says "The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES." So being government sanctioned is irrelevant. Regarding the "guy in a tent scenario", I'll follow reliable sources: do they qualify this as an outpost?