Will construction of a permanent Israeli settlement in Gaza begin by the end of 2025?
16
100Ṁ1070
2026
13%
chance

Resolves YES when construction begins on a housing project intended for Israeli citizens within the Gaza strip.

The construction must be either explicitly endorsed by the Israeli government or be allowed to continue for 30 days despite it's illegality.

Any construction not intended for civilian use will not count.

Israel
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Israel-Hamas Conflict
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Renamed market to better reflect resolution criteria.

filled a Ṁ15 YES at 20% order

I'm assuming (based on the resolution criteria) that the US doing this on Israel's behalf would count, so long as it's endorsed by the Israeli government.

@Marnix Yes, but it must be intended to house Israeli citizens.

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