Which market will make me the most M$?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ740Ṁ704

resolved Mar 22

100%18%

Buy #1 in "The Dark Forest"

16%Other

12%

Buy YES in "Will the US open its borders to Ukrainian citizens before July 1st 2022?"

0.0%

"Which market will make me the most M$?"

0.4%

Buy NO in "Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?"

Buy #4 in "Which market will make me the most M$?"

1.4%

Buy NO on https://manifold.markets/M/will-putin-get-killed-by-the-end-of

0.3%

buy no on https://manifold.markets/M/more-than-2-000-000-refugees-moved

0.2%

buy #1 on https://manifold.markets/M/what-happens-when-market-creator-le-a60924d5a2b4

buy NO in https://manifold.markets/sam/will-there-be-more-than-one-fatal-s

buy NO in https://manifold.markets/AngolaMaldives/this-market-is-a-grift-exploiting-l

Buy #5 in "The Dark Forest"

Buy #4 in "The Dark Forest"

10%

Buy #3 in "The Dark Forest"

11%

Buy #2 in "The Dark Forest"

TL;DR: the winning option is the one that makes me the most money when I sell on 22/2/22. Options should look like this: Buy YES in "Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?" When this market closes, on 8/3/22, I will buy M$100 of each of the top 5 highest valued options in this market, buying YES/NO in the market described by the option. Then, exactly two weeks later, on 22/2/22 at 14:00 GMT, I'll sell all of these holdings. Whichever one makes me the most M$ will win - I will resolve this market to that option. Specifics: * If the market has already resolved, instead of selling I will look at how much M$ I made from the resolution. * If I can't sell for some other reason, then that counts as M$0 * I will be doing all the buying and selling manually, as fast as I can, in the order of the options listed. * If options don't look like the example above (or something similar that I can work out what market is intended), I'll ignore them for the purposes of choosing the top 5 This is an experiment. I'm not sure what will happen! Mar 4, 3:27pm: Typo correction: sell on 22/3/22, not 22/2/22. Close date updated to 2022-03-08 11:59 pm Close date updated to 2022-03-08 2:00 pm Mar 8, 2:00pm: Ok, there goes my M$500! @Yev - I couldn't buy in this market because it had already closed, so had to ignore your answer for the purposes of choosing the top 5. See you all in a week, but looks like the grift has been successful for @Gurkenglas! Reflecting on this - I had hoped for antics just like Gurkenglas pulled, but I thought more people would get in on the action. Fun stuff!

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