Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?

389

1.2kṀ67k

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves NO, if at some point during 2022 Vladimir Putin stops being the ruler of Russia. Also resolves NO if there is somehow no Russia or more than one Russia and at least one of them is Putin-less. Resolves YES if nothing weird like that happens by New Year, Moscow time.

Close date updated to 2022-12-31 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2022-12-31 3:59 pm

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,690
2		Ṁ417
3		Ṁ325
4		Ṁ180
5		Ṁ172

People are also trading

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?

95% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?

92% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2028?

68% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?

81% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2032?

17% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2029?

46% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2031?

23% chance

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2030?

Sort by:

Going off actuarial tables, big no at 98%

predictedNO

@kaskarn Oh no, I read 2023. Cmon vladdy do something crazy

predictedYES

I asked the AI to draw me a picture of Putin getting backstabbed. But instead it got this image of Putin... being possessed by Voldemort... while holding a giant butter knife in one hand and a giant chopstick in another...? And also everything's on fire? I'm not really sure what's going on here.

Vladimir Putin being stabbed by Volodymyr Zelensky

switching from yes to no because 98% seems pretty high for something like "a world leader of a nation currently undergoing significant strife lasts another 3 months".

Definitely put the odds above, say, 90% or whatever, though.