Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030? | Manifold

Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?

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2031

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In 2022 67 million people died. Substacker Richard Crim thinks climate change will lead to 800 million to 1.2 billion deaths in the next 4-6 years. Will he be proven right? https://hannahritchie.substack.com/p/ev-iea-projections/comment/15732655

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If >800M people die but not because of climate change - let's say, it's due to a pandemic - how does this resolve?

How does one attribute non-obvious deaths to climate change?

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