Will the 2025 Italian citizenship referendum carry?
4
100Ṁ75Jun 11
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Italy currently requires non-EU foreigners to reside in Italy for 10 years before obtaining citizenship by residency.
On 8 June and 9 June 2025, Italy will hold a referendum to reduce the required residency period from 10 to 5 years. The referendum will carry if voter turnout exceeds 50% and the majority of valid votes are in favour of the proposal.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if the citizenship referendum carries.
This market will resolve NO if the quorum is not met or if a majority of valid votes are against the proposal.
Further information
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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