Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027? | Manifold

Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?

Basic

4

Ṁ116

2027

33%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Background

The current Italian government, led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, came to power in October 2022. Her right-wing coalition includes Fratelli d'Italia (Brothers of Italy), Lega (League), and Forza Italia. Italy has historically experienced frequent government turnover, with the average government lasting less than 15 months since World War II.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

The current Meloni government remains in power until the natural end of the legislative term in 2027
A technical reshuffle of ministers while maintaining the same governing coalition and Prime Minister will not affect resolution

This market will resolve NO if:

The government falls before 2027 due to:
- A successful no-confidence vote
- Prime Minister Meloni's resignation
- Coalition breakdown leading to new elections
- Any other event that leads to a change in government

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Elections: World

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

-3% 1d49% chance

Will Austria form a government by February 2025?

Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?

Poland: Will current Parliament serve a full term?

Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?

Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Will Meloni's constitutional reform of electoral laws pass in Italy before 2027?

Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?

Related questions

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Will the italian government last for the entire term of office?

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Will an Italian conservative party remain in office until 2027 ?

Will Austria form a government by February 2025?

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Will the current Israeli government last ~a full term?

Will Meloni's constitutional reform of electoral laws pass in Italy before 2027?

Poland: Will current Parliament serve a full term?

Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules