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MANIFOLD
Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of July 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ424
Jul 31
38%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Labor has a larger primary vote share than One Nation according to a majority of the following pollsters:

  • Roy Morgan

  • Pyxis (Newspoll)

  • Essential

  • YouGov

  • DemosAU

This market will otherwise resolve NO.

Close date

This market is set to close at 14:00 UTC on 31 July 2026.

Clarifications

This market concerns federal voting intention polls of the Australian population.

The most recently published voting intention poll from each pollster at the close date will be used.

I may trade in this market.

Market context
Politics
Elections
Australian Politics
Australia
Polls
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