Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of June 2026?
16
Ṁ265Ṁ1kresolved Jun 30
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Labor has a larger primary vote share than One Nation according to a majority of the following pollsters:
Roy Morgan
Pyxis (Newspoll)
Essential
YouGov
DemosAU
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Close date
This market is set to close at 14:00 UTC on 30 June 2026, although it may resolve sooner.
Clarifications
The most recently published voting intention poll from each pollster at the close date will be used.
I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ133 | |
| 2 | Ṁ93 | |
| 3 | Ṁ58 | |
| 4 | Ṁ55 | |
| 5 | Ṁ30 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of July 2026?
77% chance
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
50% chance
Will labour top a national/GB poll for the next UK election by the end of 2026?
87% chance
Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
24% chance
How many seats will One Nation win in the 2027 NSW state election.
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
62% chance
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
60% chance
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
69% chance
Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
18% chance
Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
59% chance