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MANIFOLD
Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of June 2026?
11
Ṁ265Ṁ562
Jun 30
25%
chance
3

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve YES if, at the close date, Labor has a larger primary vote share than One Nation according to a majority of the following pollsters:

  • Roy Morgan

  • Pyxis (Newspoll)

  • Essential

  • YouGov

  • DemosAU

This market will otherwise resolve NO.

Close date

This market is set to close at 14:00 UTC on 30 June 2026, although it may resolve sooner.

Clarifications

The most recently published voting intention poll from each pollster at the close date will be used.

I may trade in this market.

Market context
Politics
Australian Politics
Australia
Polls
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