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MANIFOLD
Which party will form Opposition following the 2026 South Australian state election?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ946
resolved Apr 1
100%98.0%
Liberal
1.7%
One Nation
0.2%Other

Resolution criterion

This market will resolve to the party that supplies the Leader of the Opposition as a result of the 2026 South Australian state election.

Market context
Politics
Elections
Elections: World
Australia
Australian Politics
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With the Liberal victory in Heysen confirmed, I'm ready to resolve. One Nation has no realistic prospect of winning a fifth seat and would need the support of 3 of the 4 independents to form Opposition, which seems incredibly unlikely to happen

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