Will Humane sell X units of AI pin before 2025?
71
3.6kṀ11k
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO
X = 10,000,000
Resolved
NO
X = 1,000,000
Resolved
NO
X = 100,000
Resolved
YES
X = 10,000
Resolved
YES
X = 1000
Resolved
YES
X = 100
Resolved
YES
X = 10
Resolved
YES
X = 1

Actual sales, not pre-orders.

Resolves YES to each option that has been satisfied, resolves NO to each option that is not.

AI
AI Safety
AI risk
Hardware
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ480
2Ṁ165
3Ṁ88
4Ṁ87
5Ṁ48

People are also trading

Will the Humane AI pin still be able to be purchased at the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will a AI-first "pin" product sell more than 100,000 units by the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will a AI-first "pin" product sell more than 1 million units by the end of 2025?
7% chance
What animal will we be to AI by 2045?
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
77% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
28% chance
Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?
60% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
28% chance
Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-4 or higher before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-3 before the end of 2025?
89% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy